Saturday, December 28, 2013

Investment Idea Sharing December 28, 2013

This Week's Activity – December 28, 2013: 
We are always adding content to our Ultimate Stock Finder website.  More investing links, articles, spreadsheet tools, etc.  There is now so much valuable information at our site that we have added a Google search bar at the top of the home page to help guide you to whatever information you need.  Check it out here: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/

Check out Ultimate Stock Finder’s new training video that shows How to Change the Screening Limits in Stock Evaluator ‘Short List’ to be your preferred limits for the 12 fundamental values: 

Click here to see the Stock Evaluator ‘Row-by-Row’ Comparison video:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bBBo4HGIJM

This week, all of the world market indices were up on the good economic reports about U.S. GDP, retail sales, unemployment and job creation.  Read more here: http://news.yahoo.com/big-ends-wall-street-hopeful-2014-212238837--sector.html
I still think the markets are overpriced but I continue looking for good values on individual stocks of good solid companies. 

Click here to see our Summary Table of Worldwide Market Index Closing values for this week: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/weekly_index_summary.GIF

Ultimate Stock Finder is also on Facebook, you can ‘Like’ us on FB and receive our weekly ‘Investment Idea Sharing’ letter (summary paragraph only) to your FB page.  https://www.facebook.com/UltimateStockFinder

You can read our weekly ‘Investment Idea Sharing’ letter at our Ultimate Stock Finder blog:  http://ultimatestockfinder.blogspot.com/

Visit our website: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/ for more investing ideas, links, training and information.


















This week I bought LeapFrog (LF) at $7.90. See the details below in (CALL or PUT) Sells for This Week.  LF closed this week at $7.89 which is near their 18 month low.  Revenue is up 4%, profit margin is 13%, but stock price is down from $11.50 in July due to a software glitch on their newly released LeapPad Ultra this summer.  They have corrected the glitch, but now are gaining more competitors (Amazon, Apple, Samsung) in the education tablet business.  LeapFrog already had VTech as a competitor.  So there are many downward pressures on LF stock, but they have good fundamentals, and I think they can compete with these rivals and will recover from this.  

See these articles for current problems being faced by LF:


See the Yahoo Profile for LF at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=LF+Profile  


StockEvaluator ‘Short List’
‘Short List’ screens using 12 fundamental value limits that I want to see in a stock before considering it as a possible buy. 
View our training video that shows how to enter your preferred values for each of these ‘Short List’ screening limits:

View the ‘Short List’ screening criteria and target limit values here: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/short_list_12_criteria.JPG

Stocks on the ‘Short List’ list this week are: CAJ, PTR, UMC, CHA.

Stock Evaluator ‘Volatility Sort’
Stocks on the ‘Volatility Sort’ have Current Price <5% above 52 week low, Volatility >3%, Profit>0%, <6 Red cells in Stock Evaluator.xls. 
Stocks on the ‘Volatility Sort’ this week are: ENZN, NATL, IOC, PSMI, HLT   

MutualFundEvaluator ‘Short List’
Mutual Funds that are within 3% of their 52 week low AND have less than 3 Red cells. 
This week’s list has 43 funds.  All except 1 (FRIFX) are Bond funds, which are all still 3 to 7% above their lows from 2006 to 2008 before The FED dropped interest rates to bring the U.S. out of the recession.  When interest rates go down, bond prices go up, and when interest rates go up, bond prices go down.  These bond funds only pay a 3 to 4% annual dividend and I think the bond prices will go down another 3 to 4% when The FED finally lets interest rates go back to historic levels which mean 10 Year Bond interest rate of at least 3.5% compared to today’s 10 year rate of 3.01%.  I will continue to wait before buying any bond funds because I do not want to lose a whole year’s worth of interest if I buy back in too soon.

Next Monthly Meeting 2nd Tuesday of every Month:
Tuesday, January 14, 2014 , 7:30 PM at my house. 

Here are my Stock BUYs for This Week:
Stock Symbol: LF
Buy Date:  12/26/2013
Buy Price:  $7.90
Target Sell Price: $11.50

Here are my Stock SELLs for This Week:
Stock Symbol:
Sell Date:
Sell Price:
Buy Price:
Buy Date:

Here are my Option (CALL or PUT) Sells for This Week:
I only Sell Covered CALLs or Cash Secured PUTs
Option:
Stock Symbol:
Sell Date:
Expiration Date:
Strike Price:
Option Price:

Visit www.ultimatestockfinder.com to download all Stock Evaluator and Mutual Fund Evaluator spreadsheets, read training articles and check out all our web links for investing information.

Please remember to send me any other investing ideas, information or questions that you want to share with the group.

Thanks,
John D.

Disclosure: The author has no positions in any of the stocks or mutual funds mentioned in this article unless clearly stated above. We certify that except as cited herein, this is our work product. We received no compensation or other inducement from any party to produce this article.  Please see our full legal disclaimer at:  http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/stockevaluator_disclaimer.html
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