Investment Idea Sharing June 22, 2014

For Week Ending – June 22, 2014: 

I routinely check on world events to see if any of them could mushroom out of control enough to cause a drop in the world stock markets.  We always seem to have these potential cataclysmic confrontations going on.  Here is my list of current world events that may trigger this drop:

1. U.S. decides to send troops back into Iraq to help with their civil war (Sunni v.s. Shiite).

2. U.S. decides to do ??? to help with Syria’s civil war (Assad v.s. all kinds of “Frenemies”).

3. U.S. and Europe decide to do ??? to help with Ukraine’s Russian separatist civil war.

4. Several Eurozone countries have elected new representatives to the European Parliament who have promised they will be voting to dismantle the Eurozone and take their respective countries off the Euro.

Looking back over the past 5 years, there were 4 major drops in the U.S. stock markets. 

Here is the 5 year chart showing these drops: https://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EDJI+Interactive#symbol=%5Edji;range=5y;compare=;indicator=rsi+volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=;

Here are the dates of major events that coincided with these market drops:

2010 (April 20) BP Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill in the Gulf of Mexico

2011 (July to August) Greece debt crisis

2012 (April to May) Poor U.S. jobs and unemployment reports

2012 (Oct. 29) Hurricane Sandy along east coast of U.S.

Now that I see this list, I actually feel better because when trying to equate these events with stock market buy/sell decisions, only two of the events were truly natural disasters (oil spill and hurricane) that no one could have predicted.  The other two were just more of a slow reveal on the overall world debt crisis from 2008 and may not have truly caused the market drops so much as simply coincided with them.  So, even though I think the market is still headed for a drop (10 to 15%) I am the first to admit that I have no idea what will trigger it or when it will happen.  So, as always, I must continue to look for good companies that are selling too cheaply. 

Last week, the world market indices were mixed with minor Up/Down movements.  The Dow Jones 30 Industrials and S&P 500 continued to inch up to new all time highs.  Here is an article discussing the Fed bond buying program that is still helping the U.S. markets:  http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stocks-rise-as-witching-may-spark-volatility-volume-2014-06-20?siteid=yhoof2

Summary Table of Worldwide Market Index Closing values for this week:

 http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/weekly_index_summary.GIF

Next Monthly Meeting 2^nd Tuesday of Each Month:

Tuesday, July 8, 2014, 7:30 PM at my house. 

Here are my Stock BUYs for This Week:

Stock Symbol:

Buy Date: 

Buy Price:  

Target Sell Price:

Here are my Stock SELLs for This Week:

Stock Symbol:

Sell Date: 

Sell Price:

Buy Price:

Buy Date:

Here are my Mutual Fund BUYs for This Week:

Fund Symbol:

Buy Date: 

Buy Price: 

Target Sell Price:

Here are my Option (CALL or PUT) Sells/Buys for This Week:

Option:

Stock Symbol:

Sell to Open Date:

Expiration Date:

Strike Price:

Option Price:

 

Visit www.ultimatestockfinder.com to download our Stock Evaluator and Mutual Fund Evaluator spreadsheets, read training articles and check out all our web links for investing information.

StockEvaluator ‘Short List’

Download ‘Short List’ here: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/stockevaluator_short_list.xls

‘Short List’ screens using 12 fundamental value limits that I want to see in a stock before considering it as a possible buy. 

View our training video that shows how to enter your preferred values for each of these ‘Short List’ screening limits:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FAwU48oEkJU

View the Stock Evaluator ‘Short List’ screening criteria and target limit values here: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/short_list_12_criteria.JPG

Mutual Fund Evaluator ‘Short List’

Download ‘Short List’ here: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/mutualfundevaluator_short_list.xls

View the Mutual Fund Evaluator ‘Short List’ screening criteria and target limit values here:

http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/mutualfund_short_list_criteria.JPG

Please remember to send me any other investing ideas, information or questions that you want to share with the group.

Thanks,

John D.

Disclosure: The author has no positions in any of the stocks or mutual funds mentioned in this article unless clearly stated above. We certify that except as cited herein, this is our work product. We received no compensation or other inducement from any party to produce this article.  Please see our full legal disclaimer at:  http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/stockevaluator_disclaimer.html

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