Saturday, September 7, 2013

Investment Idea Sharing for Sept. 7, 2013

This Week's Activity – September 7, 2013:
Remember next Tuesday Sept. 10, at 7:30PM  is the monthly Investment Idea Sharing meeting at my house.


The Dow Jones 30 Industrials stock market index has been staying around 15,000 since May 7. See the Dow chart here: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EDJI+Interactive#symbol=%5Edji;range=1y;compare=;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined;

I am still expecting a 15% drop in the world markets.  But, I cannot predict when, so while I wait, I continue to look for companies with good fundamental financial values that are near their 52 week lows.  My goal is to buy good companies whenever they are down.

I found an investment advice and stock screening website called VectorVest http://www.vectorvest.com/ that is running a promotion to get new subscribers.  They will send you, for free, up to 9 detailed analyses for individual stocks of your choice.  Their analysis tells if the stock is a Buy, Hold or Sell, and provides a lot of data about the company financials. Their annual subscription costs $120 per year, so I am not ready to pay for a full subscription, but I did send for one of their reports on Canon (CAJ) to see if it would be helpful to make my buy decision.  The report was very good and I am going to use my remaining 8 free reports as a second opinion as I find more stocks I want to buy.  CAJ almost made a new 52 week low last week, I did not buy, and this week they were back up 4.3%.  Here is the link for the free stock analysis from VectorVest http://www.vectorvest.com/stockanalysis/.


StockEvaluator “Short List” shows only companies that are within 5% of their 52 week low AND have less than 5 Red cells.  This week 10 companies are on the short list.  I researched two of them.

CAJ is Canon, the copier and camera company.  CAJ most recent quarter (6/30/2013) revenues were up 7.5% but earnings were down.  At $31.19 CAJ is near their price on April 20, 2009, but still above their 2009 absolute low of $22.05 on March 2, 2009.  Current P/E is 13,  dividend is zero, but their other financials look good.  The market does not like the fact that Canon’s camera business is being eroded by all the camera phones being sold.  Here is a good article explaining this http://seekingalpha.com/article/1657162-look-to-canon-for-an-excellent-yield-and-upside?source=yahoo   I am watching CAJ to see if it will go any lower.

SSI is Stage Stores, an off-price department store similar to Ross (ROST).  SSI was down this week because they missed Wall Street’s quarterly expectations.  SSI sales were only up 4%, Profits up 11%, full year revenue forecast was lowered to only 1%.  But Wall Street was expecting more.  At $19.19 / share, SSI is still way above their 2 year low of $11.22, and P/E is high at 20, but their financials all look good and they pay a 2.2% dividend.  I am watching to see if they will go any lower.

Volatility” sort shows only companies that have: Average Daily Price Volatility >3% ;
Within 5% of their 52 week low ; Less than 6 Red cells and Profit >0%.  This week’s list has 3 companies, MDC, HDSN, SFY.  None of these look good to me.
MutualFundEvaluator “Short List” shows funds that are within 3% of their 52 week low AND have less than 3 Red cells.  This week’s list has 42 funds.  They are all Bond funds, which are continuing to go down in anticipation of The FED raising interest rates.  I am going to wait on making any bond fund buys in hopes they can go even lower.

You can download all these specially sorted spreadsheets at www.UltimateStockFinder.com

Next Monthly Meeting 2nd Tuesday of every Month:
Tuesday, September 10, 2013 , 7:30 PM at my house. 

Here are my Stock BUYs for Last Week:
Buy   Company   Buy
Date  Bought     Price    Target Sell
----- ---------   -----  ------------
none

Here are my Stock SELLs for Last Week:
Sell   Company   Sell     Buy       Buy
Date    Sold        Price   Price     Date
-----  ---------   -------  -------  ------------
none

Here are my Option (CALL or PUT) Sells for Last Week:
I only do Covered CALLs or Cash Secured PUTs
Option  Sell    Stock    Strike   Expiration   Option  
Type    Date   Symbol  Price      Date         Price    
------  ------  --------  ------  ----------  --------
None

StockEvaluator and Mutual FundEvaluator spreadsheets are available for download at www.ultimatestockfinder.com

Remember to send me any other stocks or mutual funds that you would like to see added to the Evaluator spreadsheets, and any other investing ideas, information or questions that you want to share.

Thanks,
John D.

Disclosure: The author has no positions in any of the stocks or mutual funds mentioned in this article unless clearly stated above. We certify that except as cited herein, this is our work product. We received no compensation or other inducement from any party to produce this article.  Please see our disclaimer at the bottom of this email.
______________________________________________

Visit Our Website UltimateStockFinder.com for More Investing Ideas:
At "Stock Evaluator", download various pre-sorted views of this week's StockEvaluator spreadsheet.  All the financial data is refreshed on Friday night into StockEvaluator which contains over 2,500 company stocks.  We will add any company you would like to the list. Download "StockEvaluator spreadsheet" at: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/ 
Also, you can sign in and view the Ultimate Stock Finder watchlist on Yahoo Finance

At “Mutual Fund Evaluator” download this weeks MutualFundEvaluator spreadsheet.
MutualFundEvaluator is also updated weekly and currently contains over 800 mutual funds.

Run the various Ctrl-_ sort commands in StockEvaluator and MutualFundEvaluator to bring the best companies to the top based on their key financial values. 

Also, View our YouTube training videos to learn how to use StockEvaluator and MutualFundEvaluator.

At "Training" read more information on how we do our investments.
   “Training Module 1 - Why Use StockEvaluator.xls  And How to Use It”
   "How We Use PUTs and CALLs to Minimize Risk and Increase Profit on Each Buy & Sell"
   "S&P 500 Total Return Comparison" spreadsheet for 25 year comparisons of many funds
   "Compare Annuity Returns, Expenses and Death Benefit v.s. Managing it Yourself"

At "Links" you can find our favorite links for good investing information including:
   Screener for New 52 week lows
   Screener for Good Fundamental Values
   Screener for Stocks with High Volatility
   Links that show current P/E values for the major worldwide indexes. 
   Current Prices and 52 week ranges for major commodities

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