Sunday, February 16, 2014

Investment Idea Sharing Feb. 16, 2014

This Week's Activity – February 15, 2014: 
This week, most of the world market indices were up about 2%.  After the 7% dip from Dec. 31 to Feb. 3, the markets have now been positive for the past 2 weeks, gaining back over half of that 7% drop.  Read more here: http://news.yahoo.com/wall-st-week-ahead-u-stock-investors-face-030121129--sector.html

I still think the markets are overpriced but continue to look for good values on individual stocks of good solid companies. 

I have found an excellent FREE mobile Stock Screener app for Android devices.  It is ‘Stock Screener’ by Weir Software.  Download it here: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.weirsoftware.stockscreener&hl=en

Select from 33 different criteria and input your own screening limits for each criteria.  These criteria include all 17 of the StockEvaluator ‘Short List’ fundamental values, plus many others including Motley Fool CAPS rating, and other expert Outperform/Underperform ratings.  Then use the ‘Menu’ button to name and save your set of screening criteria and target limits on your Android device so you can run it again anytime in the future.  Here is the link to a training video I made on how to use this mobile Stock Screener.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f46Jazafrto

Now you will not be tied to your computer to keep up with market changes.  Your investing research office can be the beach, the coffee shop, waiting for the train, plane, boat, skydiving, scuba diving, etc.  Well, maybe not scuba diving, but now you have no excuse for not being right up to the minute with the market.  Please give the Weir ‘Stock Screener’ a try, and let me know what you think.  You can email questions to: info@weirsoftware.com or to me and I will pass them on.  If you use the Weir Stock Screener and like, it please be sure to leave positive feedback.

At this Tuesday’s monthly meeting, Greg M. suggested that we look at Opko Health (OPK) as a high risk and potentially High return stock.  OPK is a drug research and development company with only $92 million in revenues, but a $3.4 Billion market cap, and no profits yet.  This is not the kind of low priced, strong fundamental value company that I try to buy, but this high market cap is because OPK is run by Dr. Phillip Frost who also started several other successful pharmaceutical companies including: Key Pharma (bought by Schering-Plough in 1986), Ivax Corp. (bought by Teva Pharmaceuticals in 2006), and he was one of the first large investors in Protalix Bio Therapies (PLX).  Many large mutual fund investment companies have confidence in Dr. Frost, and own shares of OPK including: Vanguard, Oracle Investment Mgmt., BlackRock, State Street, Northern Trust, Fidelity Investments, Morgan Stanley, Dimensional Fund.  Dr. Frost serves as Chairman and CEO and has invested $20 million of his own money in OPK.  I decided to buy some shares on the emotional strength of all those other big name funds that are betting on OPK.  See my ‘Stock Buys for This Week’ below.  I am NOT recommending OPK as a buy for any of you, but my wife and I agreed to put some ‘mad money’ on OPK to see what happens.  Our goal is to make a 50% return, which would mean selling at $12.60 based on our $8.35 buy in price this week.


Visit our website: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/ for more investing ideas, links, training, tools and information.

Summary Table of Worldwide Market Index Closing values for this week:

This week I bought OPK.  See discussion above. See the details below in Stock Buys for This Week.  See the Yahoo 5 year chart for OPK:  http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=OPK+Interactive#symbol=opk;range=5y;compare=;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=;

Here is a Wikipedia article about Dr. Phillip Frost:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillip_Frost

StockEvaluator ‘Short List’
‘Short List’ screens using 12 fundamental value limits that I want to see in a stock before considering it as a possible buy. 
View our training video that shows how to enter your preferred values for each of these ‘Short List’ screening limits:

View the ‘Short List’ screening criteria and target limit values here: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/short_list_12_criteria.JPG

Stocks on the ‘Short List’ list this week are:  CAJ, PTR, UMC, CHA, DCM, ELP.

Stock Evaluator ‘Volatility Sort’
Stocks on the ‘Volatility Sort’ have Current Price <5% above 52 week low, Volatility >3%, Profit>0%, <6 Red cells in Stock Evaluator.xls.     

MutualFundEvaluator ‘Short List’
Mutual Funds that are within 3% of their 52 week low AND have less than 3 Red cells. 
This week’s list has 34 funds.  All are Bond funds, which are all still 3 to 8% above their lows from 2006 to 2008 before The FED dropped interest rates to bring the U.S. out of the recession.  When interest rates go down, bond prices go up, and when interest rates go up, bond prices go down.  These bond funds only pay a 3 to 4% annual dividend and I think the bond prices will go down another 3 to 4% when The FED finally lets interest rates go back to historic levels which mean 10 Year Bond interest rate of at least 3.5% compared to today’s 10 year rate of 2. 75%.  I will continue to wait before buying any bond funds because I do not want to lose a whole year’s worth of interest if I buy back in too soon.

The top two funds on this week’s short list are BCOSX and MWTRX.
Here are their 10year charts to show why I am still waiting to buy.



Next Monthly Meeting 2nd Tuesday of every Month:
Tuesday, March 11, 2014 , 7:30 PM at my house. 

Here are my Stock BUYs for This Week:
Stock Symbol: OPK
Buy Date:  Feb. 12, 2014
Buy Price:  $8.35
Target Sell Price: $12.60

Here are my Stock SELLs for This Week:
Stock Symbol:
Sell Date:
Sell Price:
Buy Price:
Buy Date:

Here are my Option (CALL or PUT) Sells for This Week:
I only Sell Covered CALLs or Cash Secured PUTs
Option:  
Stock Symbol:
Sell Date:
Expiration Date:
Strike Price:
Option Price:

Visit www.ultimatestockfinder.com to download all Stock Evaluator and Mutual Fund Evaluator spreadsheets, read training articles and check out all our web links for investing information.

Please remember to send me any other investing ideas, information or questions that you want to share with the group.

Thanks,
John D.

Disclosure: The author has no positions in any of the stocks or mutual funds mentioned in this article unless clearly stated above. We certify that except as cited herein, this is our work product. We received no compensation or other inducement from any party to produce this article.  Please see our full legal disclaimer at:  http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/stockevaluator_disclaimer.html
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