Sunday, February 9, 2014

Investment Idea Sharing Feb. 9, 2014

This Week's Activity – February 9, 2014: 
Remember this Tuesday Feb. 11 is the monthly meeting at my house, at 7:30PM

I apologize for the lateness of this week’s newsletter, but our Stock Data Look-up Program could not  communicate with Yahoo Finance this entire weekend so I was not able to to refresh any of the data in Stock Evaluator Spreadsheet.  Mutual Fund Evaluator web look-up did work, to that data is up to date.  We will continue working to fix our web communication problem.

FinViz has the best web screener that I have found and it is almost as good as Stock Evaluator, but it does not have: Goodwill to Equity; E.V. / Revenue; E.V./ EBITDA.

This week, the world market indices stopped their downward trend of the past 2 weeks and held steady on hope for continued employment growth and only minimal tapering of The Fed’s bond buying program.  Read more here: http://news.yahoo.com/u-job-growth-seen-snapping-back-winter-chill-060208685--business.html
I still think the markets are overpriced but continue to look for good values on individual stocks of good solid companies. 

Check out our ‘Links’ page at Ultimate Stock Finder.com for many links that help me stay current on market values around the world, including:
  Stocks (all major index closing values)
  Commodities (metals, agriculture, oil, gas)
  Foreign currency exchange rates (Euro, Pound, Yen, Yuan)

You will also find links to:
  Historical stock and commodity values
  Historical Interest Rates
  Worldwide Country Debt & Deficits
  Stock Charts for Technical analysis
  PUT and CALL Options Information and Training
  Customizable Free WEB Screeners for Stocks and Mutual Funds
 

Summary Table of Worldwide Market Index Closing values for this week:

This week I sold a PUT on NEM.  See the details below in (CALL or PUT) Sells for This Week.  
NEM closed this week at $21.52 but hit a new 5 year low of $20.79 on Thursday.  NEM has pretty good fundamentals compared to others in the metals industry (ABX, VALE, FCX, BHP, RIO, GLCNF) and I think the market is overly worried about the price of gold continuing to go down.  Gold is at $1,263 /oz which is down from the 52 week high of $1,679 in Jan. 2013 and way down from the all time high of $1,917 on Aug. 23, 2011.  Gold was at almost this same $1,200 price in June 2013, and I am hoping it has bottomed.    
See the Yahoo 5 year chart for NEM:

Here is what Jim Cramer has to say about NEM, he does not like them for these reasons:


StockEvaluator ‘Short List’
‘Short List’ screens using 12 fundamental value limits that I want to see in a stock before considering it as a possible buy. 
View our training video that shows how to enter your preferred values for each of these ‘Short List’ screening limits:

View the ‘Short List’ screening criteria and target limit values here: http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/short_list_12_criteria.JPG

Stocks on the ‘Short List’ list this week are:  not run due to web data look-up problem

Stock Evaluator ‘Volatility Sort’
Stocks on the ‘Volatility Sort’ have Current Price <5% above 52 week low, Volatility >3%, Profit>0%, <6 Red cells in Stock Evaluator.xls. 
Stocks on the ‘Volatility Sort’ this week are: not run due to web data look-up problem    

MutualFundEvaluator ‘Short List’
Mutual Funds that are within 3% of their 52 week low AND have less than 3 Red cells. 
This week’s list has 34 funds.  All are Bond funds, which are all still 3 to 8% above their lows from 2006 to 2008 before The FED dropped interest rates to bring the U.S. out of the recession.  When interest rates go down, bond prices go up, and when interest rates go up, bond prices go down.  These bond funds only pay a 3 to 4% annual dividend and I think the bond prices will go down another 3 to 4% when The FED finally lets interest rates go back to historic levels which mean 10 Year Bond interest rate of at least 3.5% compared to today’s 10 year rate of 2.67%.  I will continue to wait before buying any bond funds because I do not want to lose a whole year’s worth of interest if I buy back in too soon.

The top two funds on this week’s short list are BCOSX and MWTRX.
Here are their 10year charts to show why I am still waiting to buy.
MWTRX:

BCOSX:

Next Monthly Meeting 2nd Tuesday of every Month:
Tuesday, February 11, 2014 , 7:30 PM at my house. 

Here are my Stock BUYs for This Week:
Stock Symbol:
Buy Date: 
Buy Price:  
Target Sell Price:

Here are my Stock SELLs for This Week:
Stock Symbol:
Sell Date:
Sell Price:
Buy Price:
Buy Date:

Here are my Option (CALL or PUT) Sells for This Week:
I only Sell Covered CALLs or Cash Secured PUTs
Option:  Cash Secured PUT
Stock Symbol: NEM
Sell Date: 2/3/2014
Expiration Date: 1/20/2015
Strike Price: $20
Option Price: $2.50

Visit www.ultimatestockfinder.com to download all Stock Evaluator and Mutual Fund Evaluator spreadsheets, read training articles and check out all our web links for investing information.

Please remember to send me any other investing ideas, information or questions that you want to share with the group.

Thanks,
John D.

Disclosure: The author has no positions in any of the stocks or mutual funds mentioned in this article unless clearly stated above. We certify that except as cited herein, this is our work product. We received no compensation or other inducement from any party to produce this article.  Please see our full legal disclaimer at:  http://www.ultimatestockfinder.com/stockevaluator_disclaimer.html
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